2013年1月5日土曜日

産業は生き返り、生活は大変

 


米国は数年間の超ドル安政策の甲斐あって、産業は生き返りました。

どうやら米国は為替政策を転換したようです。
これからは強いドル政策に切り替えるのでしょう。

あれほど日本に対して厳しく金融緩和をするなと圧力をかけていたのが一転して容認し出したように映ります。
 
去年から今年にかけて円安ドル高の動きが加速していますが、これはアメリカの指示あるいは許可と私は見ています。
 
自民党にとっては、ここ数年の超円高を民主党と日銀のせいにできたので、タイミング的に最高だったことでしょう。


これから、日本はここ数年アメリカがやったことと同じことを行うことが予測できます。

量的緩和という円安政策によって、1ドル=100円いや120円という円安に向かって行くのでしょう。

こうなれば、輸出産業と製造業が生き返ります。
シャープを代表とする散々だった家電産業も持ち直すでしょう。

ここ数年は円安景気によって日本経済は見た目上は栄えるでしょう

反面、輸入物価は値上がりして国民の特に年金生活者の生活は大変になるでしょう。

1ドルが120円になれば、物価は今の1.5倍になるのです。
ガソリン1リッター200円は超えるでしょう。

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